kenpom has Villanova with an 85% chance of winning today with a project 10 pt win (74-64)
NC State Key Stats
Adj Offensive Efficiency 110.9 (34th in country)
Adj Defensive Efficiency 98.2 (87th)
four factors:
Off Effective FG% 49.5 (149th)
Def Effective FG 45.5% (43rd)
Turnover % Ranked 28th nationally in not turning the ball over on offense, Ranked 343rd in creating TOs on defense
Off Reb %: Ranked 79th in grabbing O boards and 139th in preventing them.
FTA/FGA: Ranked 221st best at getting to the line on offense - ranked 125th at not sending the opponent to the line.
3PFG 32.5% (225th)
3PFG Def: 31.1% (83rd)
So the positives from NC State perspective: they run a generally balanced offense that takes care of the ball. They are an above average rebounding team that plays good defense
On the flip side, their negatives - they don't create turnovers or get steals with great frequency - which would indicate they are not used to applying a large amount of ball pressure or extending way out on the wings. they don't get to the FT line a lot and when they do they shoot only 68.4% from the line.
what to look for - if NC State shoots above their averages from the line and the stripe and Villanova shoots the ball poorly - the game could be closer than anticipated and the emotion/pressure of an NCAA game could begin to impact the outcome.
Wolfpack has about an inch height advantage across the roster, Villanova has about a half year experience edge on average.
For comparison - Villanova key stats:
Adj Offensive Efficiency 120.9 (4th in country)
Adj Defensive Efficiency 92.2 (12th)
four factors:
Off Effective FG% 55.9 (10th)
Def Effective FG 45.4% (39th)
Off Reb %: Cats are close to national averages
FTA/FGA Cats are 54th for Off and 31st for Def
3PFG 41.4% (22nd)
3PFG Def 30.8% (27th)
This post was edited on 3/21 10:02 AM by ericw
NC State Key Stats
Adj Offensive Efficiency 110.9 (34th in country)
Adj Defensive Efficiency 98.2 (87th)
four factors:
Off Effective FG% 49.5 (149th)
Def Effective FG 45.5% (43rd)
Turnover % Ranked 28th nationally in not turning the ball over on offense, Ranked 343rd in creating TOs on defense
Off Reb %: Ranked 79th in grabbing O boards and 139th in preventing them.
FTA/FGA: Ranked 221st best at getting to the line on offense - ranked 125th at not sending the opponent to the line.
3PFG 32.5% (225th)
3PFG Def: 31.1% (83rd)
So the positives from NC State perspective: they run a generally balanced offense that takes care of the ball. They are an above average rebounding team that plays good defense
On the flip side, their negatives - they don't create turnovers or get steals with great frequency - which would indicate they are not used to applying a large amount of ball pressure or extending way out on the wings. they don't get to the FT line a lot and when they do they shoot only 68.4% from the line.
what to look for - if NC State shoots above their averages from the line and the stripe and Villanova shoots the ball poorly - the game could be closer than anticipated and the emotion/pressure of an NCAA game could begin to impact the outcome.
Wolfpack has about an inch height advantage across the roster, Villanova has about a half year experience edge on average.
For comparison - Villanova key stats:
Adj Offensive Efficiency 120.9 (4th in country)
Adj Defensive Efficiency 92.2 (12th)
four factors:
Off Effective FG% 55.9 (10th)
Def Effective FG 45.4% (39th)
Off Reb %: Cats are close to national averages
FTA/FGA Cats are 54th for Off and 31st for Def
3PFG 41.4% (22nd)
3PFG Def 30.8% (27th)
This post was edited on 3/21 10:02 AM by ericw
