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Latest RCP average shows Trumo 42.8% and Hillart 43.8%. Her electoral college lead has now shrunk to 201 - 164. I'd say that's pretty close even though polls this far out don't really show more than the current trend line. A month ago Hillart was up by 11% in the popular vote and was over the 270 electoral votes needed to win. Hillary's poll negatives are still going up while Trumo's are going down.[/QUOTE
Again, I don't really give much credence to national polls. They make very little sense as an indicator. But my point was more that he is not polling well with any demo other than whites . Namely, lesser educated whites. Women, Hispanics, well educated - not doing well at all. Very hard to win in 2016 without those demos ..
Once I know what the definition of handily is I will be willing to say whether I put Florida in that column.
That was a really interesting article, adp. One of the mistakes the talking heads are making is taking the polls and applying the 2008 and 2012 models to project the end result of the election. This election is going to be entirely different than previous elections. For example, I live in a retirement community. Obviously it's full of old folks who are traditionally Democratic voters. I haven't talked to a single person who's not planning to vote for Trumo. Personally, I would never have even considered voting for a guy like Trumo. But, my distaste for Crooked Hillary is so intense so that I'm voting for him.http://www.politico.com/magazine/st...n-campaign-loses-defeated-donald-trump-213924
Good breakdown for those who are interested
Who is going to be Hillart's VP? Nutter?Good article adp98. The thing is I think that article didn't even mention the biggest mistake that she is going to make-the African American vote. There is no way African Americans come out to vote for Hilliart in anything close to the numbers that they did when Barry was on the ballot. I actually think Trump appeals and can even pick up a larger percentage of the African American vote than a Republican nominee has received in a long time.
I actually think this will be the difference in the election. Dems will do s good enough job getting their apathetic voters out to carry a couple of the swing states, and that's all they need. If votes were weighted based on how strongly the voter supports the candidate Trumo would probably win, but I think Crooked Hillary will squeak by.The thing I don't get about the turnout arguments... what else are the Democratic voters in these swing states going to be doing that day? Working? If it looks like the election will be close, the Democratic get out the vote machine -- more sophisticated than Trumo's by a huuuge margin -- will get people out.
No, they just don't think Hillary is fighting for the 99% (whatever that means), so they have no hope for change with her. She's part of "the system," so she's no good (ignore that the Bern and Obama are also part of the system).Why are these dirty dems so apathetic? Have they figured out that the establishment owns the whole process now and that their "vote" is a false choice?
We like to call it a coronation around here.At least R's kicked Bush's OUT.
Pathetic that D's are still letting the Clinton fraud go on.
So she doesn't provide the empty illusion of hOpe, like Barry did? So they don't give a damn. It's a bit scary to think what will happen when the (growing) unwashed masses mobilize.No, they just don't think Hillary is fighting for the 99% (whatever that means), so they have no hope for change with her. She's part of "the system," so she's no good (ignore that the Bern and Obama are also part of the system).
Everybody is like the 2010 class, not just the unwashed masses.So she doesn't provide the empty illusion of hOpe, like Barry did? So they don't give a damn. It's a bit scary to think what will happen when the (growing) unwashed masses mobilize.
Boogergating and St Mary's choking?Everybody is like the 2010 class, not just the unwashed masses.