North Carolina Preview

ONIN2TO · Apr 4, 2016

Picasso or Villanova’s shot chart against Oklahoma?

NORTH CAROLINA (33-6)

The #1 Kenpom Team (The Cats) vs The #2 Tarheels

BIG WINS: #25 Maryland, #24 Syracuse (3x), #13 Miami, @#20 Duke, #3 Virginia, #44 Providence, #15 Indiana.

LOSSES: @# 65 Northern Iowa, @#36 Texas, @#10 Louisville, @# 35 Notre Dame, #20 Duke, @#3 Virginia.

OFFENSE

Shot Distribution: 38% Rim / 35% Mid-Range / 26% 3pt

#1 Offense in the nation.
Play at the 15th fastest pace
#16 2pt shooting team off of lots of looks at the rim.
#294 3pt shooting team (32%)
75% from the line (#30)
Excellent at taking care of the ball, #21 in turnovers.
#3 Offensive rebounding team.
Do not get to the foul line very often (#278)
Only 13 teams in college basketball attempt fewer 3 point shots.

DEFENSE

Shot Distribution: 30% Rim / 34% Mid-Range / 35% 3pt

#23 defensive team
8th longest possession length on defense suggests they do an excellent job limiting transition.
Force an average number of turnovers (#162)
Below average defensive rebounding (#196)
Keep opponents off of the foul line (#50)
#59 in blocks
Really excel on 2pt defense, opponents shoot only 44% from 2pt (#24)
Give up plenty of 3pt shots however, which opponents hit at 36% (#247)
Only 44% of opponents made shots are assisted, the 15th lowest in the country.

THE STARS

BRICE JOHNSON (6-10) SENIOR

Shot Distribution: 48% Rim / 52% Mid-Range / 0% 3pt

#1 Player according to Kenpom
Plays 70% of the game
Excellent rebounder (#104 Offensive / #13 Defensive)
#38 eFG%
#148 in Blocks
Draws tons of fouls (5.2 / 40 minutes) and gets to the line at a high rate.
Knocks down 79% from the foul line
Shoots 43% in the mid-range and 82% at the rim.
Has been playing at another level for the last month.

MARCUS PAIGE (6-2) SENIOR

Shot Distribution: 21% Rim / 20% Mid-Range / 59% 3pt

Plays 67% of the game
Never turns the ball over (#263)
Shoots 77% from the line
Takes a huge number of shots from 3pt, where he connects on 35%
Had no problem shooting in NRG, connecting on 3-7 from three

JUSTIN JACKSON (6-8) SOPH

Shot Distribution: 40% Rim / 32% Mid-Range / 28% 3pt

Plays 71% of the game
Does not turn it over (#18)
Excellent at the rim, good in the mid-range (40%), but only 28% from three.

JOEL BERRY (6-0) SOPH

Shot Distribution: 24% Rim / 30% Mid-Range / 45% 3pt

Plays 76% of the game, and I think is more important to this team than people seem to realize. Marcus Paige isn’t the only guard on this team.
Excellent assist rate
Excellent steal rate (#207)
Shoots 87% from the foul line.
Excellent 3pt shooter as well (37%). But was 0-4 last game.

THEO PINSON (6-6) SOPH

Shot Distribution: 31% Rim / 25% Mid-Range / 43% 3pt

Plays 47% of the game.
Great assist rate.
67% foul shooter
29% 3pt shooter
Basically just not a shooter, terrible in the mid-range.

ISAIAH HICKS (6-9) JUNIOR

Shot Distribution: 62% Rim / 38% Mid-Range / 0% 3pt

Extremely efficient offensive player, great at the basket and very good mid-range as well.
Excellent offensive rebounder (#80), solid defensive one.
Plays 42% of the game
Commits a lot of fouls (6.7 / 40 minutes)
Draws a lot of fouls, gets to the line a ton, and converts 76% of foul shots

KENNEDY MEEKS (6-10) JUNIOR

Shot Distribution: 59% Rim / 41% Mid-Range / 0% 3pt

Plays 42% of the game.
Excellent rebounder (#64 Offensive / #346 Defensive)
Excellent block rate.
Solid mid-range game.
Shoots 68% from the line.

OTHER THOUGHTS

This team is incredibly deep in the front court.
Marcus Paige shot well on Saturday at NRG, but the rest of the team was 1-10. It may be possible to pack it in on defense, and double off of everyone but Paige & Berry.
They get out and run on offense, need to limit transition.

Sorry guys, last write-up of the year!

Kittles93-tc · Apr 4, 2016