Tonight the (still) Kenpom #1 Cats take on the Seton Hall Pirates (again)
Kenpom #44 (#99 Offense / #28 Defense)
13-4
Big Wins: #23 Wichita State, #47 Providence, #86 Georgia
Losses: #112 Long Beach State, #63 GW, #1 Villanova, #40 Creighton
Opponents Punched: 0
Since we left the Hall they have lost 82-67 to Creighton at Home and beat Providence 81-72 on the road while holding the Friars to only .91 points per possession.
SETON HALL OFFENSE
Shot Selection: 38% Rim / 34% Mid-Range / 28% Three
Ranked #99 by Kenpom
The Good
- Shoots the ball a little above average from 2pt range (lots of shots at the rim) and a little below average from three.
- Great offensive rebounding (#28)
- Gets to the line at a high rate (#65)…. And believe it or not it’s everybody but Whitehead that’s getting to the line.
The Bad
- Really high turnover rate (#271). They had only 12 against Villanova last time out but are prone to blow ups like their 19 turnovers against Providence (which they somehow won anyway)
- Tons of steals (#296)
- Terrible Free Throw Percentage 65% (#284)
This team is going to come right at you on offense… sometimes reckless & out of control but they are coming at you. They will draw fouls, they will crash the offensive boards (because Isaiah Whitehead is just throwing hand grenades at the basket). And because this is Seton Hall you can expect plenty of mid-range shots.
Our success holding Hall to .93 points per possession last time out had a lot to do with allowing 40% at the hoop (and limiting Hall to only 18 shots at the rim), 30% mid-range (on high volume of 26 shots).
SETON HALL DEFENSE
Shot Selection: 37% Rim / 31% Mid-Range / 32% Three
- The defense is the strength of this team, #34 in Kenpom
- #42 2pt defense #50 3pt defense
- #58 Turnovers
- #92 Blocks
- #48 Steals
- They give up fewer than average 3pt attempts #68
Overall Seton Hall has done a great job forcing turnovers and dictating opponents shot selection. By limiting FT Attempts and 3pt attempts they force opponents to take 2pt shots, a lot of which are in the midrange. They also do an excellent job of defending at the hoop. Interestingly they are not defensive rebounding that well, ranking #233. Particularly surprising given how good they are on the offensive boards.
THE “STARS”
ISAIAH WHITEHEAD (6-4) Soph
The poster child for inefficient shot selection: 19% Rim / 42% Mid-Range / 39% Three
- Shoots a massive number of mid-range shots but only connects on 35% of them… that’s it. 31% from three and 50% at the rim.
- Takes the 26th most shots in college BB.
- Seems the narrative is that he is much improved in his Sophomore season, but I’m not seeing it in the numbers. All of his metrics are similar or slightly improved from his freshman year.
- Somehow every announcer still considers him a star, and a pro prospect.
- But whatever he has his own fan website www.isaiahwhitehead.com
KHADEEN CARRINGTON (6-3) Soph
- Killed us at their place last year for 17 points (9-10 at the line), a very quick guard. Last game he put an efficient 14 points on 4-8 from 2, 1-3 from 3, and 3-4 from the line.
- Shooting 35% from deep
- Excellent finisher at the rim (63%)
DERRICK GORDON (6-3) Senior
- Who the heck is this guy?
- Transferred to Seton Hall after spending his freshman year at Western Kentucky, and two years at UMASS.
- Not much of a long range shooter (25% from 3)
- But slashes and gets to the line at a very high rate. (but none last time out)
- Turnover prone
- Had a rough game last time, going 4-13.
DESI RODRIGUEZ (6-6) Soph
The anti-Isaiah Whitehead shot selection: 44% Rim / 26% Mid-Range / 31% Three
- Most efficient offensive player on the team.
- Great offensive rebounder
- Skilled robber: #39 in steals
- Draws a ton of fouls
- Shooting 68% on FT / 68% at the Rim / 32% Mid-Range / 38% 3pt
- Shoots a lot more from the left side of the court, literally double the shots. Carrington does the same thing which I thought was really odd until I looked back at Whitehead’s shot chart, which is very slanted to the right side of the court. Whitehead has taken 53 shots left of the key for a 34% eFG and 71 shots right of the key for 44% eFG. Players will often shoot a little more from one side of the court but not so much that it changes other players on the team.
- Has the ability to go off: 19 pts against Marquette, 18 against Wichita State.
- He’s the guy that worries me most, he is dramatically improved from last year, but had a miserable game last time going for 7 points making only 1-8 from the field. Maybe the tension with Willard contributed, but he did see normal minutes that game.
Now seems like a good time to quote myself from my notes about the Mary Kline Classic a couple years ago…
“Seton Hall has a loaded class, they will be good in a couple years. Only problem is all 4 of them never saw a shot they didn’t like. You can already tell there will be attitude issues along the way as well. Good luck Willard, this won’t be easy.”
Yup
ANGEL DELGADO (6-9) Soph
- Excellent rebounder
- Struggles on the line (55%)
- Shooting 66% at the rim / 41% Mid-Range
- We basically owned him last year, and did again last time out. He only had 4 points and 4 rebounds.
This game is very worrisome as the Hall beat us last year at their place 66-61 in overtime. The game was an assault on the eyes, featuring 48 total fouls and Villanova shooting 38% from 2pt and 21% from 3pt. Hall will look to muddy up the game again and defend their home court. I’m glad this game is at 9:00 on a Wednesday this time around, last year it was a noon Saturday game and the place was packed and rocking (at the time Seton Hall was 11-2 and the fan base believed their program was Lazarus raised from the dead, and Whitehead to be Jesus… they went 4-13 after that game). The late start should temper the crowd I would think.
OTHER NOTES
- Wil D Cat keeps getting so much robot love… Kenpom #1 (#12 SOS) / RPI #1 (#1 SOS)
- Buddy Hield is still running away with KPoy, he deserves it.
- Josh is up to #3 and Chef #5. They are still the only teammates in the top 10.
- Duke has the 126nd ranked defense.
- Villanova is the #18 Offense / #4 Defense
- The only teams undefeated in conference are: Indiana, Iowa, Texas A&M, UNC, and Villanova. Winning in conference is hard.