As the uncertainty continues to swirl and COVID-19 cases spike across the country there is growing pessimism surrounding the college football season. While college football, along with the professional leagues attempting to get up and running, will take center stage in the sports vs. COVID-19 drama for the coming weeks and months, soon enough college basketball will be on the doorstep and decisions will have to be made.
With that in mind, the NCAA Tournament Selection Committee wrapped up three days of virtual meetings on Thursday night and the great Dana O'Neil detailed the pulse of those meetings in an article for The Athletic.
The most significant takeaway is that, for now, the plan is to proceed with the college hoops season as scheduled. Call the mood of the committee one of cautious optimism. They are aware that it is impossible to know what the landscape will look like in one or two months' time and all options remain on the table.
The committee will be keeping a close eye on how things go with the other sports, both professional and collegiate, as they attempt to start or resume seasons. That, along with time, are the greatest assets college basketball has at the moment. Watching how things go in regards to basketball with the NBA, with baseball attempting to operate while incorporating some travel in its schedule, and keeping an eye on what happens with the NFL and college football will provide the basketball decision-makers invaluable data on what works, what doesn't, and what is feasible. In addition, the eternal optimist can maintain hope that the country will get some kind of handle on the virus over the next two months, which could make things a little easier.
There were two other notable takeaways. Both revolve around a wrinkle already introduced into any plans for the season by the Ivy League announcing that fall sports would be canceled. As such, they won't play a non-conference schedule in basketball. That throws a wrench in the tournament selection process, especially if other schools or conferences are forced to follow suit. In response, the committee discussed two ways to address the situation.
One is that the waiver process for conferences to alter how it awards its automatic tournament bid will be extended to give conferences added flexibility to adjust to potentially changing circumstances.
The other is that the committee may not rely on the NET rankings as they usually do. If some teams play a full schedule while others play conference-only, the comparison provided by the NET rankings becomes incomplete. The committee could give less weight to the rankings, or dismiss them altogether. Regardless, it appears that the "eye test" will be much more important in the selection process in 2020-21.
The decision-makers find themselves in an unenviable position. Obviously, everybody wants a season. But they are faced with a constantly evolving situation and a seemingly infinite number of variables. The ability to watch how things play out with other sports and leagues and having time before needing to make any firm decisions is a huge plus right now. Hopefully, being able to copy what works for those other leagues while learning from what doesn't will enable college basketball to come up with a plan that will work and the current cautious optimism will prove warranted.
If you have a subscription to The Athletic, you can read O'Neil's article here:
https://theathletic.com/1920513/2020/07/09/ncaa-keeping-basketball-schedule-as-planned-for-now/