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Virginia

Let's get some thoughts on our big game this Saturday.

From what I can tell they are big, experienced, and have some depth. Gill and Brogdon are two seniors having stellar seasons thus far. Perrantes has been shooting the 3 off the charts (>50%) this season as well. Tobey is a 7 foot senior but I think we have the advantage over him with DO. Curious how much they will go "big" against us as they have another 6'11" New Zealand-er frosh who gets minutes. I think this game (as many will this year) come down to our 3 point shot falling.

some gr8 BE Games this weekend

SATURDAY:
Bryant @ Providence - Noon - FS1 (kenpom - 97% chance of W) BE WIN
#Marquette @ Wisconsin - 1:30 - ESPN 2 (kenpom - 20% chance of W) BE WIN
#Tenn @ Butler - 2:30 - FS1 (kenpom - 84% chance of W) BE WIN

UNCW @ Georgetown - 2:30 - CBSSN (kenpom - 89% chance of W) BE WIN
IUPUI @ Creighton - 5:00 - FS1 (kenpom - 92% chance of W) BE WIN
#Cincy @ Xavier - 5:30 - Fox (kenpom - 73% chance of W) BE WIN

Ark-LR @ DePaul - 10:00 - FS1 (kenpom - 64% chance of W) DePaul Sucks

31% chance of winning all the games other than Marquette @ Wisconsin
6% chance of sweeping the whole schedule


SUNDAY:
#Syracuse @ St. John's - Noon - FS1 (kenpom - 25% chance of W) BE WIN
St. Peter's @ Seton Hall - 2:30 - FS1 (kenpom - 89% chance of W) SHU up at Half
LaSalle @ Villanova - 5:00 - FS1 (kenpom - 98% chance of W)


22% chance of sweeping Sunday
1% chance of sweeping the whole weekend

St. John's & Seton Hall - Hopeless

I was talking to someone this weekend about Danny/Bobby Hurley and their current situations at URI/ASU. The topic soon changed to "Isn't it a shame that one or both of them didn't take the Seton Hall/ St. John's jobs. Would have been great for the New Big East"

So I started thinking more about both schools. I don't think there is any hope for either of them coming back to national prominence. I think both are victims of the new world order in college athletics. Neither will ever be a serious threat to make the NCAA tournament again. St. John's has 1-2 good years since Carnesecca retired in the early 90s and Seton Hall has never been relevant since PJ left in the mid-90s.

Check the St. John's roster. There is not 1 kid from NYC. Not 1. The whole team is a hodge-podge of foreign players and misfit toys from other parts of the country. Basically, the crap no one else wanted. Spare me the Chris Mullin argument. He's never recruited a player, he's never coached a game (until 10 days ago). I have little confidence that he will make a difference. Kids from NYC have no interest in St. John's. They don't even know who Mike Jarvis or Ron Artest is much less Chris Mullin and Lou Carnesecca. It's a dead program, never coming back.

Pretty much the same thing with Seton Hall.

Throw in the fact that DePaul is a mid-major program (and a lousy one at that), Creighton is a nonentity, and Xavier/Butler are "keep your fingers crossed" programs -- likely only to be good once every 4 years -- this conference stinks.

We should leave the BE ASAP.
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Is this Team Soft?

Something that is just as bothersome to me as the three point shooting debate. Is the rebounding issue a symptom of something else?

Is this team soft?

It's hard to tell based on a slew of double digit wins over weak opponents. It's even harder to imagine with a guy like Hart and a scrapper like Arch on the squad. But even against a number of bad teams our rebounding has been weak. To me, that is a sign of a team that isn't terribly tenacious.

It's one thing to outshoot somebody, but is this team capable of imposing its will on another team? Is this just the feel of a jumpshooting team? To be honest, despite being creamed by Oklahoma, I didn't ever have the feeling we were dominated. Just outshot. I'd take my chances again versus them.

Note: This isn't an overreaction to a single loss. I waited 4 days. This is based on every game we've played. Granted, the most recent game is likely stuck in my mind.

Fordham Head Coach to PSU as Offensive Coordinator

Joe Moorhead, considered a great offensive mind will try to help Coach Franklin. Moorhead was at Fordham for 4 yrs. This season Rams were 9-3 a playoff team again, averaged 36.8 IMO Cats did a good job holding Rams to 7 pts. I know some will say it was the weather, but weather alone did not stop that very good offense.
And besides it was not the worst conditions I ever sat thru. Season before Cats held Rams way below their average of 40.6
http://mobile.philly.com/beta?wss=/philly/blogs/sports/college&id=361680911
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People Are Missing The Point About Villanova Taking Too Many 3s

EdMcM shared this in another thread but I think it deserves more attention. This article was written going on 2 years ago and nothing has changed. Please read the article. The point is not whether or not we make the 3s that we take, the point is we are shooting too many 3s regardless. Unless we find a way to win without relying on shooting 35 3-pointers a game, we are always going to run into that bad shooting night, and if it happens in March, we are going to find ourselves once again going home earlier than we should be. We have the weapons, we just need to find the way.

http://grantland.com/the-triangle/n...shooting-villanova-creighton-florida-arizona/

How the OK game started

1. 8 passes including Ochefu post up: Hart turns it over under the basket
2. 2 passes Hart drives and misses a wide open bunny
a. OK scores a 3 on a 1-pass break on the rebound where Ochefu ran into the paint with everyone else instead of covering the wide open 3​
3. 4 passes, Brunson attempts an open 3 with under 10 to shoot rolling off an Ochefu high ball screen. Hits the front rim.
a. OK scores a 3 on a 1-pass break on the rebound where Ochefu took himself out of the play trying to save the ball and Brunson was 10 feet off Hield.​
4. 1 pass, Arch misses open mid-range long
5. 5 passes, including post-up to Ochefu, kicked out and reversed to a wide open Brunson who shot an open 3 long.
6. 1 pass Arch hits a pull up 3 on the rebound break.
7. 1 pass missed mildly contested 3 attempt by Jenkins off to the right
8. On the break, outlet to Arch in same spot as made 3, halfway down and out
a. OK scores a 3 as Woodward beats Jenkins off the dribble and finds a wide open Hield as every Nova player on his side was in the paint.​
9. 5 passes include an Ochefu post-up, Arch misses open 3 hitting the front rim (under 10 on the clock)
a. OK hits a 3 on zero passes as Hart sagged to the FT line on Cousins​
10. 5 passes Arch shoots a slightly contested midrange airball
a. OK hits a 3 on 1 pass to Hield who steps back on a sagging Jenkins​
===============================================================

So, OK on their first 5 made shots were on zero or 1-pass plays, all 5 of which were just bad defensive positioning plays. With Nova's possessions, 5 times they had 4 or more passes resulting in a TO, 3 open shots (missed) and 1 semi-contested airball. The other 5 had 2 good fastbreak attempts by Arch (1 made 1 in and out) 1 rushed and semi contested shot by Jenkins, 1 wide open mid-range by Arch, and 1 wide open bunny missed by Hart.

Honestly there was nothing generally wrong with the start of the game offensively other than missing shots and rushing a bit here and there. Defensively was the problem where we just really had bad positioning and gave OK easy 1 or no-pass 3-ball attempts.
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